AMS Blog

A 3.5% ten year T-Note is in the forecast, but happening in mid-June was a tad early.  Dr. Jack Marrion June 24, 2022

Last Half 2022 Trend Lines: Inflation rate – up but falling; interest rates – up; stock market – there is no trend line.  Dr. Jack Marrion June 10, 2022

The Federal Reserve’s 2020 FAIT plan declared they would no longer try to prevent inflation with rate increases when unemployment was dropping sharply. High inflation and rising interest rates are a reality of 2022… was it fate?  Dr. Jack Marrion June 3, 2022

A weather forecast predicting ten days out is only right half the time. Be wary of anyone saying they know where the stock market will be in six months …or even one. Dr. Jack Marrion May 20, 2022

Aggressive economists predicted 10-Yr T-Note yields of 2% by yearend. My New Year’s guess had them at 2% by spring… but not 3% in May.  Dr. Jack Marrion April 15, 2022

The Groundhog Day interest rate and stock market movie continues to play out. No major change.  Dr. Jack Marrion April 8, 2022

Interest rates will back off a little, but continue an upward trend. Oil producers will maintain limits on production, anticipating that oil barrel prices will be back to around $80 by fall. Dr. Jack Marrion March 25, 2022

Inflation numbers are only one reason why interest rates will continue to increase. The stock market outlook remains uncertain. Dr. Jack Marrion March 11, 2022

To repeat, the safety flight dropping bond yields should be short-lived. Altho for equities, Mr. Savitz of Barron’s reminds us that “the bear is just napping”. Dr. Jack Marrion March 4, 2022

Safety flight is dropping Treasury yields, raising others, and slamming equities. The safety distortion for yields should be short-lived, but equities outlook is cloudy. Dr. Jack Marrion February 25, 2022